Draft v3 · · What changed
Demis Hassabis
Positions
Scale and scaffold
Hassabis grants what scaling produces and denies it is the whole recipe. His forecast lives in a named list of missing pieces, and Google DeepMind's systems have begun shipping toward them.
AGI as scientific discovery
Hassabis's AGI is a research closed loop — world models plus automated experimentation — and the scientific outputs are the destination, not the spillover.
The substrate split with LeCun
Hassabis and LeCun share the diagnosis that pure scaling is not enough and split on whether the language model is the base to build on or the wrong base.
The DeepMind architectural argument
DeepMind's 2024–2026 product line is an architectural argument that scale-plus-search-plus-world-models produces capability that pure scale, on its own, has not.
·Issue 1 · The Scaling Bet
deslop.media editorial. Issue 1, Draft v3, first published October 10, 2026. Reporting current through October 2026. Use the flags on this page to report an error or a disagreement. Changes to the issue are listed on the changes page.
Part of Issue 1 · The Scaling Bet