The AI economy
PAYBACK
A fictional AI economy with rules taken from the real one — every number a share of model worlds, not a forecast. Read what it found, or take the CEO seat the numbers come from.
AI Futures · deslop.media
Where is AI going?
One instrument is live right now: PAYBACK, the economy model — a fictional AI economy with rules taken from the real one. Read what it found, or take the seat the numbers come from. The expert panel returns on top of it, rebuilt on the same foundations.
Returning
The AI Speedometer
The expert panel is down for rebuild — the new speedometer sits on top of the economy model. Same field, same discipline: a spread, not a verdict.
deslopmedia· AI Futures
"the wall is here"
compute keeps paying
AGI by 2027
it's a bubble
scaling is dead
scaling still works
jobs are safe
mass layoffs incoming
regulation is coming
nothing ever happens
this changes everything
Following AI
ACT 01 · THE PROBLEM
Following AI
is noisy.
A hundred confident takes, all at once — and they don't agree.
ACT 02 · THE SYNTHESIS
Out of the noise, two answers.
THE PANEL
A weighted panel of experts worth following
THE MODEL
A quantitative model worth turning the dials on
ACT 03 · THE PANEL
Placed by their own words.
Each named voice read across nine scenarios — a contested spread, no scenario crowned. The panel returns with the exact reading.
A SPREAD,
NOT A VERDICT
NO SCENARIO DOMINATES
THE PANEL RETURNS WITH THE NUMBERS
ACT 04 · THE MODEL
Turn the dials on the build-out.
The same dial, driven by structure. Move an input — the whole read shifts.
TURN A DIAL,
THE READ SHIFTS
ILLUSTRATIVE · NOT A FORECAST
CHOOSE AN INSTRUMENT
Two readings of the same field. One is live now; the panel returns.