---
title: "The Scaling Bet"
publication: deslop.media
byline: deslop.media editorial
provenance: editorial_synthesis
provenance_note: "Editorial synthesis by deslop.media editorial, assembled from the subject's public record. The subject did not sit for an interview with deslop.media and has not reviewed it."
issue: 1
issue_title: The Scaling Bet
grade: draft
issue_version: 3
issue_version_date: 2026-10-11
piece_version: 3
first_published: 2026-10-10
reporting_current_through: 2026-10
canonical_url: https://deslop.media/issues/1-the-scaling-bet/
cite_as: "\"The Scaling Bet,\" deslop.media editorial, Issue 1 (Draft v3, October 11, 2026)"
changes: https://deslop.media/issues/1-the-scaling-bet/changes/
flag: "MCP tool flag_content, or POST https://api.deslop.media/api/flags"
---

# The Scaling Bet

Issue 1 · Draft v3 · October 11, 2026. Reporting current through October 2026.

- Leader: https://deslop.media/leaders/the-scaling-bet.md
- Changes: https://deslop.media/issues/1-the-scaling-bet/changes/

## Keep scaling

Push today's methods further with more compute, data, and capital.

- Dario Amodei: [The bet at the end of the curve](https://deslop.media/feature/dario-amodei/end-of-the-scaling-exponential.md)
- Sam Altman: [What $1.4 trillion is supposed to buy](https://deslop.media/feature/sam-altman/the-stargate-bet.md)
- Demis Hassabis: [Scale and scaffold](https://deslop.media/feature/demis-hassabis/scale-and-scaffold.md)
- Noam Brown: [The second axis](https://deslop.media/feature/noam-brown/the-second-axis.md)

## Different training

Train differently: change what models learn from, or how, before adding compute.

- Richard Sutton: [Sutton and the Bitter Lesson](https://deslop.media/feature/richard-sutton/bitter-lesson-misread.md)
- Ilya Sutskever: [The recipe is exhausted; the curve is not](https://deslop.media/feature/ilya-sutskever/the-recipe-not-the-curve.md)
- Gary Marcus: [Pattern matching, not reasoning](https://deslop.media/feature/gary-marcus/the-architecture-critique.md)

## Different machine

Build a different kind of model for the compute to run.

- Albert Gu: [The architecture that capex forgot](https://deslop.media/feature/albert-gu/architecture-that-capex-forgot.md)
- Yann LeCun: [The bet against the language model](https://deslop.media/feature/yann-lecun/lecun-llm-dead-end.md)
- François Chollet: [Scaling isn't enough](https://deslop.media/feature/francois-chollet/scaling-isnt-enough.md)